While demand for agricultural commodities and timber continues to grow, for the benefit of nature and people we need renewed efforts to safeguard the world’s last remaining wilderness areas, restore degraded natural habitat, and improve the environmental sustainability of agricultural lands.
Comparing alternative pathways for food and land-use systems can help identify ways to achieve multiple wins.
Using the FABLE modelling framework, this brief analyzes baseline conditions for biodiversity and potential pathways to meeting three of the CBD post-2020 global biodiversity framework targets, while considering synergies and trade-offs with food security and climate mitigation goals.
This study compares future outcomes for land where natural processes predominate (LNPP) across two pathways:
Our study shows how countries can contribute to achieving global biodiversity targets, without compromising food security or climate mitigation goals.
- The Current Trends pathway depicts a low ambition of feasible action towards environmental sustainability with a future strongly dependent on current policy and historical trends.
- The Sustainable pathway corresponds to a higher ambition of feasible action towards environmental sustainability.
The brief was first introduced during the webinar on 10 March which brought together experts from around the world to highlight the interlinkages between biodiversity loss and global food systems to discover sustainable solutions for the future. Speakers shared research, case studies, and set out the path forward. You can view the recording here.